Browsing: prediction

Technology

Google launches multi-token prediction writers for its Gemma 4 models, which use a form of speculative decoding to guess future tokens for faster inference (Ryan Whitwam/Ars Technica)

By Stacey D. WallsMay 6, 2026

Ryan Whitwam / Ars Technica: Google launches multi-token prediction writers for its Gemma 4 models, which use a form of…

Business & Money

Why prediction platforms are missing

By Stacey D. WallsMay 1, 2026

The nation’s biggest horse race, the Kentucky Derby, takes place Saturday in Louisville. If you are looking to bet on…

Technology

The US Senate unanimously passed a rule banning senators from trading on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, amid growing concern over insider trading (Dan Mangan/CNBC)

By Stacey D. WallsApril 30, 2026

Featured Podcasts Access: What happens when AI runs a store A show about the inside conversations of the tech industry,…

Business & Money

NFL asks prediction markets to refrain from ‘objectionable bets’

By Stacey D. WallsMarch 30, 2026

The NFL shield logo on the field during a preseason game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Houston Texans…

Technology

Prediction market bets decided on linguistic technicalities reveal how difficult it is to turn language into a binary market, with payoffs dependent on a single word (Christopher Beam/Bloomberg)

By Stacey D. WallsMarch 28, 2026

Featured Podcasts Big Tech Podcast: Why OpenAI killed Sora, did Apple just save Siri?, Meta’s big loss The Big Technology…

Business & Money

Major League Baseball Names Polymarket as Prediction Market Partner

By Stacey D. WallsMarch 19, 2026

Shayne Coplan, CEO of Polymarket, at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, United States on Thursday, November…

Technology

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should develop (Bobby Allyn/NPR)

By Stacey D. WallsMarch 7, 2026

Bobby Allyn / NPR: A look at the rivalry between Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, and Shayne Coplan, CEO of…

Business & Money

CFTC Defends Prediction Market Enforcement as States Challenge Platforms

By Stacey D. WallsFebruary 17, 2026

Michael Selig, President Donald Trump’s nominee for chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, testifies during a Senate Agriculture Committee…

Business & Money

Prediction markets heading into basketball season after Super Bowl peak

By Stacey D. WallsFebruary 11, 2026

A basketball only finds the net during practice before a 2024 NCAA Tournament game at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh.Charles…

Technology

Kalshi and Polymarket facilitated more than $800 million in Super Bowl deals, as professional players turn to prediction markets and adopt Wall Street-style strategies (Bloomberg)

By Stacey D. WallsFebruary 7, 2026

Featured Podcasts Big Tech Podcast: Software In Shambles, OpenAI vs. Anthropic Super Brawl, Amazon’s Struggles The Big Technology Podcast takes…

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US FCC waives deadline for Amazon to deploy half of its Leo satellites by July; Amazon is still scheduled to launch all 3,232 satellites by July 30, 2029 (Michael Kan/PCMag)

Microsoft has disabled more than 70 of its repositories on GitHub, including Azure-related tools like azure-functions-host, after hackers added credential-stealing malware to them (Zack Whittaker/TechCrunch)

Meta invests $115 million in workforce academy, free 5-week program to train Americans to build data centers, offering job guarantees on Meta construction sites (Wall Street Journal)

Apple announces a new Foundation Models framework for developers, a new Core AI framework, and a set of Xcode improvements aimed at agent coding workflows (Hartley Charlton/MacRumors)

Former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner’s AI-focused hedge fund, Situational Awareness, has more than $20 billion in assets under management, after launching less than two years ago (Peter Rudegeair/Wall Street Journal)

Browsing: prediction

Google launches multi-token prediction writers for its Gemma 4 models, which use a form of speculative decoding to guess future tokens for faster inference (Ryan Whitwam/Ars Technica)

Why prediction platforms are missing

The US Senate unanimously passed a rule banning senators from trading on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, amid growing concern over insider trading (Dan Mangan/CNBC)

NFL asks prediction markets to refrain from ‘objectionable bets’

Prediction market bets decided on linguistic technicalities reveal how difficult it is to turn language into a binary market, with payoffs dependent on a single word (Christopher Beam/Bloomberg)

Major League Baseball Names Polymarket as Prediction Market Partner

A look at the rivalry between Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan, who have competing visions for how prediction markets should develop (Bobby Allyn/NPR)

CFTC Defends Prediction Market Enforcement as States Challenge Platforms

Prediction markets heading into basketball season after Super Bowl peak

Kalshi and Polymarket facilitated more than $800 million in Super Bowl deals, as professional players turn to prediction markets and adopt Wall Street-style strategies (Bloomberg)